Easy Forex Daily Outlook

Market Summary

No Presents for the Market this Christmas

U.S. Dollar Trading (USD) managed small gains again today as the market shrugged off bad economic data and year end demand favored the Dollar. US GDP was confirmed at -0.5% and University of Michigan Dec sentiment was revised higher to 60.1 vs 55.3. November New Home Sales dropped -2.9% to 407K vs. 420K forecast. Existing Home Sales dropped -8.6% to 4.49M. In U.S. share markets, the NASDAQ was down -10 points (-0.71%) and the Dow Jones was down -100 points (-1.18%). Crude Oil closed down $0.93 ending the New York session at $38.98 per barrel. Looking ahead, November Durable Goods Order at seen at -3 vs. -6.9 previously. Weekly Jobless Claims are forecast at 560k vs. 554k previously.

The Euro (EUR) Holiday mode trading saw the Euro stay inside the previous days trading range. Trichet spoke in the late US session noting that the market has underestimated the stimulus steps taken by the ECB. Overall the EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.3916 and a high of 1.4020 before closing the day at 1.3940.

The Japanese Yen (JPY) was sold against most currencies as the USD/JPY broke higher above resistance at the 90.70 area on good USD demand. Trading in Asia was quiet with Japan away. Overall the USDJPY traded with a low of 89.90 and a high of 90.97 before closing the day around 90.85 in the New York session.

The Sterling (GBP) came under pressure as the Q3 GDP was revised lower to -0.6% vs. -0.5%. More BoE Rate Cuts are expected and this kept the crosses weighed. Overall the GDP/USD traded with a low of 1.4672 and a high of 1.4896 before closing the day at 1.4750 in the New York session.

Gold (XAU) stepped lower as Oil and Silver came under pressure and the USD was well supported during the US session. Overall trading with a low of USD$830 and high of USD$847 before ending the New York session at USD$840 an ounce.

Gold (XAU) rebounded 1% as copper climbed on China rate cut news. Overall trading with a low of USD$831 and high of USD$839 before ending the New York session at USD$852 an ounce.

Technical Commentary

• Euro - 1.3940

  Initial support at 1.3903 (Dec 22 low) followed by 1.3824 (Dec 19 low). Initial resistance is now located at 1.4166 (38.2% retrace 1.4719 to 1.3824) at followed by 1.4306 (Dec 19 high)

• Yen - 90.85

  Initial support is located at 89.08 (Dec 22 low) followed by 88.43 (Dec 19 low). Initial resistance is now at 91.57 (Dec 12 high) followed by 91.98 (Dec 15 high).

• Pound - 1.4750

  Initial support at 1.4673 (Dec 22 low) followed by 1.4500 (Key Level). Initial resistance is now at 1.4993 (Dec 22 high) followed by 1.5187 (Dec 19 high).

• Australian Dollar - 0.6795

  Initial support at 0.6764 (Dec 18 low) followed by the 0.6663 (Dec 16 low). Initial resistance is now at 0.6927 (Dec 19 high) followed by 0.7139 (Dec 18 high).

• Gold - 836

  Initial support at 830 (Dec 19 low) followed by 802 (Dec 10 low). Initial resistance is now at 881 (Dec 17 high) followed by 900 (Key Psychological round number).